2010-07-25

Liu Jun Luo expects violent U.S. dollar appreciation

Liu Jun Luo is looking for a big U.S. dollar rally in August or September. He sees the U.S.-ROK joint military exercises, with Japanese observers, as a small piece of the U.S. long-term strategic plans, which includes a major U.S. dollar rally to sink its economic rivals. He also believes India is part of a broader U.S. anti-China strategy and thinks there could be a small Sino-Indian border conflict.

In a declining social mood, conflicts are more likely in an of themselves. China and other emerging markets benefit from peaceful international relations that allow countries to focus on economic development. As the largest economy, military power and printer of the reserve currency, the United States has the ability to weather periods of instability and even profit from the chaos, economically and strategically. However, these periods also are the ones in which great powers lose their position and a new global order emerges, so they are not without risk.

Also, while the U.S.-ROK military exercises receive some press in the West, it is one of the major stories of this week in China, along with U.S. comments about disputes in the South China Sea and U.S. visits to countries in the region.

美、韩军演与美元暴力暴涨

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